13Sep09

This is too rich:

What is going on here is that Barack Obama’s Justice Department is rewarding a faithful political supporter by quashing a criminal prosecution that could adversely affect Sullivan’s application for U.S. citizenship. In less than eight months, President Obama has corrupted the Department of Justice to a degree that has not been seen in our lifetimes, if ever. In Obama’s Justice Department, the type of justice you get depends on how valuable you are to the Democratic Party.

I seem to remember a little incident involving the Bush administration firing U.S. Attorneys over their failure to prosecute the White House’s political targets. Oh, and the Chief of Staff to the Vice President being convicted on four felony counts related to disseminating classified information solely to discredit a critic. Of course, Libby’s conviction was immediately commuted by the President himself. All of this is however, much less corrupt than a local prosecutor failing to prosecute a marijuana possession by a columnist.

Idiocy, thy name is John Hinderaker.

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Powerline lays it out:

Three months into his first term, Ronald Reagan was popular because Americans saw that he had a bold and confident vision for America’s future. He remained popular for eight years and was re-elected in a landslide because his free-market and strong defense policies were resoundingly successful. The same fate, I fear, is not in store for Barack Obama. Or for America.

We’ll check back in with them and see how wrong they are in a few years.


The week after

11Nov08

The euphoria has worn off, but the faintest hint of competency and decency is already intoxicating after coming of age in an political environment devoid of it. Honestly, the trajectory of my memory on American governance consists of Clinton’s 1992 plurality, government shutdowns in 1995, and impeachment proceedings in elementary and middle school later mediated in high school and college by voter fraud, fabricated war, and unapologetic mugging of the Constitution. A whole generation of young people do not know what is like to be competently and honestly governed. One can only hope that power does not lead Democrats to the same boorish behavior displayed by the Republican rule nor that this newfound political coalition will be torn asunder too quickly. I likewise hope that the GOP can find a way to return to moderate positions by casting the theoconservative culture warriors and neoconservative extremists out and joining the rest of us in solving some serious problems in the 21st century.


Whether the GOP cuts the chaff from the wheat to remain a national party with a coherent platfrom or devolves into a regional party with fascist tenancies remains to be seen. McCain already has a place in this history books, but punditocratic prognosticators are projecting that her star is still rising:

Heh. I will bet that the unseen powers-that-be in the GOP will ensure that she will be remembered about as much as Joe the Plumber. I would go so far as to argue that in the party shakeup likely to ensue, these power brokers after reviewing the extent to which she compromised McCain’s campaign will ensure that she has no place ever in a national election. The campaign revelations emerging not 24 hours after the concession speech are entirely telling:

NEWSWEEK has also learned that Palin’s shopping spree at high-end department stores was more extensive than previously reported. While publicly supporting Palin, McCain’s top advisers privately fumed at what they regarded as her outrageous profligacy. One senior aide said that Nicolle Wallace had told Palin to buy three suits for the convention and hire a stylist. But instead, the vice presidential nominee began buying for herself and her family—clothes and accessories from top stores such as Saks Fifth Avenue and Neiman Marcus. According to two knowledgeable sources, a vast majority of the clothes were bought by a wealthy donor, who was shocked when he got the bill. Palin also used low-level staffers to buy some of the clothes on their credit cards. The McCain campaign found out last week when the aides sought reimbursement. One aide estimated that she spent “tens of thousands” more than the reported $150,000, and that $20,000 to $40,000 went to buy clothes for her husband. Some articles of clothing have apparently been lost. An angry aide characterized the shopping spree as “Wasilla hillbillies looting Neiman Marcus from coast to coast,” and said the truth will eventually come out when the Republican Party audits its books. …McCain himself rarely spoke to Palin during the campaign, and aides kept him in the dark about the details of her spending on clothes because they were sure he would be offended. Palin asked to speak along with McCain at his Arizona concession speech Tuesday night, but campaign strategist Steve Schmidt vetoed the request.

This is just a fraction of what is left to be revealed. Conservatives will reflect on McCain-Palin much like liberals on Gore-Lieberman: a match made in hell to appease intraparty factions. I suspect that after everything comes to light about what transpired during this campaign between the Alaska scandals, shopping sprees, diva tendancies, and so on, Palin won’t even be welcome on Fox News.


I voted.

29Oct08

I waited 100 minutes in line with a few hundred of my closest friends to vote early at the Evanston Civic Center. Everyone was in good spirits despite the poll workers still clearly being overwhelmed by the turnout 2 weeks into early voting period.

If you haven’t voted yet and early voting is still open — get out and do it ASAP! Remember, polls don’t win elections, votes do. Do your part and kick the bums out!


RedState’s Dan Perrin is happy in his reality and fact-free zone and has generated this wonderful set of conclusions on why McCain and Republicans have nothing to be worried about besides the looming landslide:

Here are the six other reasons McCain-Palin will win:

The Gallup poll after Labor Day has historically been a predictor of the winner of the Presidential election. The person leading in that poll wins the Presidency. The Republican convention, pushed onto Labor Day by the Summer Olympics muddied the waters on this historic fact, but the Gallup poll a week later showed McCain ahead of Obama, predicting the McCain victory.

Uhm, where’s the data first of all – what specific poll, where’s the data, how long is its streak? Second of all, homeboy is confounding all kinds of stuff into is ridiculous statement. Finally, his hedges liken themselves to jungle underbrush: “The one after labor day except for the fact that we don’t count that one but the one after the convention so that the bounce is there. And then ignore all the polling from every other organization since then.” Just keep this one around to laugh at on the 5th.

There are six states that since 1972 have voted for the winning Presidential candidate. These are predictor states. They pick winners every time. McCain will win every one of the following six states: Arkansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Missouri, Ohio and Tennessee.

Of course he’s forgetting non-Southern and thus non-reliably Republican swing states like Nevada (95.8% accuracy this century), New Mexico (92%), and Delaware (86.7%). He correctly identifies Missouri, Tennessee, Ohio, and Kentucky, but I don’t know where the hell Arkansas and Louisiana are coming from because these Jim Crow states were all in with Democrats until ’72 which really undercuts the bellwether argument. If we go to the polls, FiveThirtyEight has Delaware (100%), Ohio (84%), Missouri (59%), Nevada (77%), New Mexico (96%), Ohio (84%) for Obama and just Arkansas (100%), Louisiana (99%), and Tennessee (100%) for McCain. So really, the only bellwether McCain has in his corner is Tennessee. That’ll definitely bring in the 270 EVs.

Elderly and some other Jewish voters were already uncomfortable about voting for Obama, but the recent comments by Farrakhan that when Obama speaks, the Messiah is speaking, or that Obama’s victory will do great things for the Nation of Islam, or the statement by Jesse Jackson that there will be “fundamental change” in America’s foreign policy, especially with regard to Israel – is causing a hemorrhaging of Jewish support.

Do you just talk out of your ass or actually look at any data? Gallup (those rabid MSM Obamacons!) has this old (October 23, 2008) and confusingly-titled (Obama Winning Over the Jewish Vote) poll that states: “Jewish voters nationwide have grown increasingly comfortable with voting for Barack Obama for president since the Illinois senator secured the Democratic nomination in June. They now favor Obama over John McCain by more than 3 to 1, 74% to 22%.” Please next time, just type in “jewish presidential poll” before you make shit up.

Women who feel Senator Clinton was treated unfairly by the Democratic Party, by the media and by Senator Obama — who did not even vet Senator Clinton to be his running mate – will remember. This voting block, you will recall, lay in the weeds in the pre-New Hampshire primary polling. The win by Senator Clinton was a shock, undetected by the polling. And these were Democratic Party voters who were undetected – not the other voters Obama will face November 4th. Obama’s youth vote will not post to the polls, they never do. The young think: the media says Obama will win, so why should I vote? But the 40 and 50 and 60 something women voters who voted for Senator Clinton have three alternative plans to make sure they get to the polls, regardless of a hiccup in their work or child care responsibilities. They will vote, and they will vote against Senator Obama.

Again, no data presented or even an attempt to spin data. Just lumping pollsters in with the news media as apparachiks of the vast Obama machine. Oh, and more baseless and unsubstantiable assertions flying in the face of prevalent coverage and data to the contrary. Pew data from today: “a growing percentage of his backers now say they support him strongly. Currently, 74% of Obama voters say they support him strongly, up from 65% in mid-September.” Miami Herald and Dallas Morning News (likewise Obama collaborators) point out that the PUMAs are no where to be seen months after the convention and primary battles.

Today’s unstable world does not bode well for Senator Obama. The instability in the stock market and related job and mortgage fears do not equate with voting for the ING (Inexperienced New Guy.) In an affirmation of Mark Penn’s observation that the strong leader almost always wins the Presidential election, a mid-west hairdresser with no party affiliation told me the country has very serious problems, and that is why she is voting for the strongest leader.

Yawn. Again, no data just baseless assertions. The aforementioned Pew data along with a raft of other polling outfit data (Gallup, Gallup again, Ramussen) clearly demonstrates that Obama’s polling has remained strong and constant over the past month despite the Election rhetoric and imploding economy. People already see Obama as a strong leader and is trusted on more issues (AP/Yahoo).

Finally, the reason that the world and the media incorrectly will tag as the reason for McCain’s victory (despite the foregoing six other reasons) will be the Wilder or Bradley effect. Simply put, Asians, Whites and Hispanics have and will lie to pollsters about their intention to vote for Senator Obama. According to the Associated Press, this will cost Obama six points at the polls. The AP estimate could be low. In the case of Bradley and Wilder, the spread between a “lead” in the polls and actual votes cast was in the low double digits.

This makes no sense on its face, why would these groups have any reason to lie to a pollster? The notion of the Bradley effect contributing to a sudden loss on election day has already been discredited by serious people on both the left and right, non-partisan journalists, and even FOX News suggested Obama may benefit from a reverse Bradley effect.

If you want a better top 6 or 7 list, read this excellent piece by Mike Madden and Walter Shapiro on the failure of the punditocracy’s themes throughout this election for both sides.


Wassup 2008

24Oct08

Just a recap of what’s transpired and what’s at stake.